Singapore publishes an unusual amount about what property actually sold
for. Most of it is misread in the same few ways.
These are short pieces built from the same transacted records our ratings are
built from — HDB resale prices published by the Housing & Development Board, and caveats
and tenancy contracts lodged with the Urban Redevelopment Authority. Every claim here is
measured, and where the evidence is thin we say so instead of rounding it up into
confidence.
A 2-room flat runs at S$743 per square foot and an executive at S$577 — and the
“cheaper” one costs two and a half times as much. Why comparing price per square foot
across sizes reliably points the wrong way, and the three cases where PSF is genuinely
the right instrument.
All property types · comparing prices
Asking prices sit above the transacted record — but by about 2% in HDB resale and
about 14% in industrial. The gap is a property of how visible the record is, not a
discount anyone is owed, and reading it correctly changes what a listing price is
telling you.
HDB & industrial · reading a listing
The median condo asking price sits 3.7% above the transacted record of its own
project — and that is the least useful number on the page. One listing in five
asks more than 10% above its building’s own sales, and three in ten ask below
them. The gap by district, from 1.2% to 7.2%, and the tidy explanation our own data
refused to support.
Condos · reading a listing
COV cannot be looked up, cannot be borrowed against, and does not exist until after
the Option to Purchase. What you can check first: inside one block, flat type
and quarter, recent sales differ by about 8.5% — a median gap of S$50,000.
HDB · buying process
The raw record says a high floor is worth 82% more. Measured inside the same block,
where the address, age and lease are held still, it is worth about 7% per ten storeys —
and in one block in twelve, nothing at all.
HDB · what moves a price
Older HDB flats sell for more per square foot than newer ones. That is not
the lease being worthless — it is where the old flats are. What 50,912 resales say once
you hold the town, flat type, size and storey still, and why the curve has a step in it
at 55–60 years.
HDB · lease & financing
290,035 signed leases say the market-wide rent range is mostly a trick of the mix.
Hold the project, the bedroom count and the quarter still and the gap between a good
rent and a poor one collapses from 51% to about 7%.
Condos · renting out
“The market is strong” cannot be argued with, because it is a claim about nothing
checkable. The four questions the transacted record does answer, the three arguments
that collapse on contact with it, and what the difference sounds like across the table.
All property types · buying & selling
101,433 HDB flats pass their five-year minimum occupation period by 2031 — 20,064 of
them in 2027. Where they are, town by town, and why the count is arithmetic on the
published record rather than a forecast. Tengah alone holds 15,476, in a town with no
resale history at all.
HDB resale · study
In 2020, 0.4% of HDB resales transacted at S$1m or more; so far in 2026 it is 7.3%
— 1,087 flats in seven months. The most common million-dollar flat is now a 4-room,
not an executive, and 92.7% of this year’s resales were still below the line.
HDB resale · study
Every Singapore launch that sold in 2021–22 and has resold in the last twelve
months: what it sold new at, what it resells at now, and the change — the launches
that lost value named beside the ones that gained. URA’s price index over the same
period sits beside each row, so the market’s rise and the launch premium can be told
apart.
New launches · study
A tool rather than a guide, for the arithmetic people
most often do by hand: the rental yield calculator works
out gross and net yield from your own price, rent and costs, and grades nothing.
Every guide here argues from the transacted record, and
so does the report: a PriceVero detailed report reprints
the individual sales themselves — URA's caveats and HDB's resale register, each with the
size, the floor band, the month and the price, as published — alongside the summaries built
from them. Where too few sales are on record for one of them to stay anonymous, the report
prints the summary and says why.
More to come. If there is a comparison you keep
seeing quoted and want tested against the record, tell us at
support@pricevero.com.